Arizona and Michigan primaries
Republicans in Arizona and Michigan go to the polls today to vote in the latest GOP primaries
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Tim Gaynor visited a polling place at the Kenilworth Elementary School -- reportedly where Barry Goldwater went to school -- in Phoenix this morning. Although Romney is leading in Arizona polls, Tim encountered Santorum and Paul supporters:
Citing his support for Israel, contractor Rand Vogel said he voted for Santorum — and said he did not trust Romney.“Obama will stab us in the front, Romney will stab us in the back. I don’t trust that he has the same views that I do on the free market,” he said.
For university lecturer Bruce Voris, a vote for Santorum was partly tactical. “He’s the more conservative candidate, and he’s polling really well in the battleground sates against Obama — better than Romney,” he said. “That electability thing, Romney had that kind of mantle, but I don’t think it’s been proven.”
Game designer Shane Stevens voted for Ron Paul. “I believe in his conservative message of limited government,” Stevens said. “He’s the only candidate out there that actually has a battle plan for saving the Republic economy-wise. He wants to cut a trillion dollars off the national debt in the first term.”
“Romney is a paper tiger. If you vote for Romney you’re basically voting for Obama, because all his policies are essentially the same.”
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Tim Gaynor tracked down from Romney supporters at a polling place in a Methodist church in east Phoenix:
Shelby Kaveinga, a stay-at-home-mom, said she believes Romney "can make a difference in the economy in America right now ... Romney made a lot of headway when he was governor in his own state."
"When he was governor, more jobs were created, the economy turned around a little bit more, jobs were created ... He's a big businessman ... He's done well for himself. I think he has a good strategy," she said.
Dorothy Landis, a retiree who works part time at Costco, said she believes Romney "has experience starting businesses, and that's what we need right now... I do feel that he has a better chance right now, though debating-wise Newt Gingrich would have been a bit better, but I do think that Mitt Romney is the right man to make our country prosperous."
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Grand Rapids waitress decided Santorum at the last minute because of "character" and she liked he left campaign bec of Bellaby samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 6:14:50 PM -
Today Romney praised staff and took blame personally. Will the same be true tomorrow if he loses here?by samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 6:33:45 PM -
RT @sportsguy33: Duke wouldn't credential Grantland for Saturday's UNC-Duke game. I already hated Duke but was diplomatic about it... no ...by samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 6:40:58 PM -
Gonna be a long night capped off with a high-speed drive from Grand Rapids to Detroit to switch from Santorum to Romney in the morningby samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 6:54:31 PM -
Latest futures trading on InTrade shows Romney with 55.1 percent chance of winning Michigan primary against 44.9 percent for Santorum.
InTrade sometimes offers spurious odds--in October of 2008 it forecast John McCain winning that year's presidential election by 10 points, but in this case it is almost identical to the odds given by the forecast model of New York Times pollmeister Nate Silver. -

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Just asked Santorum if he's gonna win. Shrugged. "I'm not a pollster. We don't even have a pollster."by samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 7:37:55 PM -
After Santorum explained to local reporter why he couldn't be mistaken for a robocall, joked that he'd heard such calls are "controversial"by samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 7:49:07 PM -
And yeah, def heard one reporter ask a human how many robocalls she had made todayby samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 7:49:55 PM -
"Robocalls I understand are a very controversial thing." Santorum joke at phone bankby samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 7:58:17 PM -

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Zeke Miller at Buzzfeed reports that the Romney campaign just moved the press pre-set time for his first event tomorrow to 7am (3 hours before the start time) -
Santorum: gas prices "had an impact on the recession in 2008." But did they cause? "Ok, they contributed, that's a better way to say it."by samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 8:50:33 PM -
Santorum says Romney "is a lightweight on conservative accomplishments, which happens to be more important" than how much money you've madeby samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 9:25:52 PM -
More Santorum: "No, I'm not a heavyweight. I'm not a multi-millionaire."by samyoungman via twitter 2/28/2012 9:26:34 PM -


Retired General Motors auto worker John Martinez (L) and two of his sons Gabriel (C) and Emilio take a break while landscaping the front of their home in Lincoln park, Michigan. REUTERS/Rebecca Cook See more photos of Michigan
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Tim Gaynor spoke to I. H. Stone, a retired telephone company worker wearing a cowboy hat, at a Methodist church hall in east Phoenix.
Stone said he voted for Gingrich because he felt that his experience as a Washington insider would be an asset.
"He knows where the skeletons are ... The politicians in general .. It might just help him," Stone said. "You're better off walking in knowing what you are walking into." -
The pro-Gingrich Super PAC Winning Our Future released this animated ad targeting Mitt Romney:
Alina Selyukh explains:
In this new minute-long ad called “Next…” Romney is shown shifting uncomfortably in a chair in an empty waiting room, queued up to get the Republican nomination from the establishment. He holds ticket number 28, while the DMV-style digital readout screen says, “Now serving 027.”
Romney then grows increasingly restless as a pundit on TV says that Republicans are fed up with the establishment picking candidates and implies that Romney is not a true conservative. Cue in an upbeat electric guitar jingle and a narrator saying, “As America rises up and speaks, Romney’s plans go out the window” – and Romney’s ticket gets swept up by a gust of wind and flies away through an open window.
The ad is now airing in Georgia, Gingrich’s home state, and is part of a new TV ad buy from Winning Our Future. Two other new spots, one a shorter version of the other, feature Gingrich supporters explaining why their candidate is a better choice than Romney.
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In the Detroit suburb of Farmington Hills, Raphael Boji, 62, a developer and realtor who moved to the U.S. from Iraq in 1968, tells Reuters' Eric Johnson that he voted for Romney because believes he "has more guts than the other guys." Romney "is a home town boy, of course. And I think he will make a good President. The country and the people have to come first and we need someone who can do something about the economy. The present President is not doing anything about the economy so we need some changes.”
Beth (she would not give her last name), 45, who works at General Motors, also voted for Romney. "I like somebody who is more center of the road," she said. "I don’t like all the swinging back and forth. I view Obama, who I did vote for [in 2008], as too far to the left and I view the other Republican candidates as true conservatives, who are too far to the right for me.”
“I want a candidate who is fiscally conservative and socially liberal, but that candidate does not exist – but Mitt is the closest to that.”
August Vortriede, 53, an engineer and Santorum voter, told Eric that he liked Santorum's "adherence to the constitution."
“I’ve always liked Santorum but it’s more what I don’t like about Romney," he said. "He is just saying he is a conservative and I do not believe him.” -

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Rick Santorum, Eric Johnson writes, is taking a page from Rush Limbaugh's playbook:
In an unusual move that has rival Mitt Romney crying foul, Santorum's campaign has been bombarding Democrats and independents in the state with automated "robocalls," urging them to vote for the Republican in Tuesday's closely fought contest, which is open to supporters of both parties.
The strategy is reminiscent of the political trickery portrayed in the 2011 George Clooney thriller "Ides of March" and of "Operation Chaos," the name Limbaugh gave to his 2008 plan to get Republicans to vote in open Democratic primaries.
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Just how close are Romney and Santorum in the latest polls?
RealClearPolitics charts out the four most recent polls in Michigan and Arizona, and in Michigan, they're in a dead heat:
Mitchell/Rosetta Stone (2/27) found Romney 37 percent, Santorum 36 percent
PPP (2/26 - 2/27) found Romney 37 percent, Santorum 38 percent
Rasmussen Reports (2/26) found Romney 38, Santorum 36
WeAskAmerica (2/26) found Romney 37 percent, Santorum 33
In Arizona, by contrast, they're not very close at all:
WeAskAmerica (2/26) found Romney 43 percent, Santorum 27 percent
PPP (2/26) found Romney 43 percent, Santorum 26 percent
Rasmussen Reports (2/23) found Romney 42 percent, Santorum 29 percent
NBC News/Marist (2/19 - 2/20) found Romney 43 percent, Santorum 27 percent -
RT @JesseRodriguez: We won't see a characterization of the Michigan and Arizona primary results until at least 9pmET.by ethanklapper via twitter 2/29/2012 12:23:35 AM -

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How did Romney do in Michigan and Arizona in the 2008 primaries?
In Michigan, Romney won, beating John McCain 38.9 percent (338,316 votes) to 29.7 percent (257,985 votes).
In Arizona, he finished second to McCain, who won in his home state with 47.2 percent of the vote (255,197 votes) to Romney's 34.5 percent (186,838 votes). -
OH NO THE CNN MAGIC WALL HAS BECOME SELF-AWAREby Anthony De Rosa via twitter 2/29/2012 12:34:53 AM -
This blog has a good post about the most recent polls: www.electoral-vote.com -

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Imran Khan's party wins revote in Karachi, protests expected
ISLAMABAD - Cricket hero Imran Khan's Pakistan Tehrik-i-Insaf party won a revote in an upmarket constituency of Karachi on Sunday, unofficial results showed, a day after gunmen killed a party leader, setting the stage for protests and counter-protests.
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